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APO stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

Apollo is one of the world's largest alternative asset managers, with $938... Show more

APO
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Aug 03, 2026

Apollo Global Management (APO) Stock Analysis: Can Credit Dominance and Athene Offset Market Headwinds?

Key Takeaways

  • Apollo Global Management shares closed at $125.59 on July 31, 2026, reflecting a recovery of roughly 6% from early July lows but still well below the mid-June peak near $139.
  • The stock has experienced heightened volatility, driven by a sharp late-June selloff across alternative asset managers and renewed buying interest in July following multiple analyst reaffirmations.
  • Q2 2026 earnings are scheduled for release on August 4, with consensus estimates pointing to EPS of approximately $2.15–$2.18 and revenues near $5.6 billion.
  • Apollo's credit-heavy asset mix — over 80% of AUM — and its Athene retirement platform remain central to the bull case, while broader macro uncertainty and private-market liquidity concerns weigh on sentiment.
  • Analyst consensus stands at Moderate Buy with an average price target around $149, implying significant upside from current levels, though targets have been trimmed in recent months.

Current Market Snapshot

Apollo Global Management (APO) has traded in a wide range in recent months, posting a 52-week low of $99.56 and a high of $153.29. After peaking near $139 in mid-June, the stock sold off sharply during the final week of June, touching an intra-month low around $114 before stabilizing. Throughout July, shares gradually recovered, closing the month at $125.59 — roughly flat relative to levels seen in early May but reflecting a month of two-way volatility that underscores the market's uncertain outlook on alternative asset managers. The stock's 50-day simple moving average sits near $125, while the 200-day moving average is approximately $123, placing the current price just above both technical levels. Trading volumes spiked during the late-June decline and remained elevated into July, suggesting active institutional repositioning.

Apollo Global Management (APO) Business Overview and Competitive Position

Apollo Global Management is one of the world's largest alternative asset managers, with total assets under management reaching approximately $1.03 trillion as of March 31, 2026. The firm operates across two primary segments: asset management and retirement services. Within asset management, Apollo deploys capital across private equity, credit, and real assets, with credit comprising more than 80% of total AUM — a structural differentiator that reduces the firm's reliance on private equity exit cycles compared to peers. Apollo's retirement services business, anchored by Athene, originates and manages a large portfolio of fixed-income and alternative investments backing annuity and pension liabilities. Athene's scale, distribution reach, and capital-efficient sidecar structures provide Apollo with a steady source of fee-generating and spread-related earnings. The firm's integrated origination platform — spanning direct lending, structured credit, and investment-grade private placements — positions it as a key capital provider across global debt markets.

Recent Developments Driving APO

Several developments have shaped Apollo's stock performance over the past month. On July 14, Apollo-managed funds completed the acquisition of Questex, combining it with Emerald Holding to form a new B2B experiential events and media platform — a strategic move that diversifies Apollo's operating-company exposure beyond traditional asset management. HSBC initiated coverage on July 20 with a Buy rating and a $145 price target, highlighting the firm's credit-focused model and Athene's competitive advantages. Morgan Stanley reaffirmed its Overweight rating with a $164 target on July 21, while Autonomous Research maintained Outperform with a $160 target. However, BMO Capital adopted a more cautious stance, lowering its target to $126 with a Market Perform rating on July 13. On the macro front, concerns around private-market liquidity intensified in late June after Apollo restricted redemptions in its Apollo Debt Solutions fund due to elevated repurchase requests, a move that rattled sentiment across the private-credit space. Insider selling has also drawn attention, with Vice Chairman John P. Zito selling approximately $6.4 million in shares in late May. On a positive note, Apollo raised its quarterly dividend to $0.5625 per share, representing a 10% year-over-year increase and signaling management confidence in cash-flow generation.

Trending AI Robots

Investors seeking data-driven insights beyond traditional analysis can explore Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page. Tickeron offers hundreds of AI-powered trading bots that actively trade thousands of tickers across multiple strategies, timeframes, and market conditions. The Trending AI Robots section curates only the top-performing and most relevant bots, making it easier for traders to identify strategies that align with current market dynamics. Each bot is designed with distinct parameters — from short-term momentum plays to longer-duration trend-following models — allowing users to evaluate real-time performance metrics, win rates, and historical trade data. Whether tracking alternative asset managers like Apollo or scanning for opportunities across sectors, this curated dashboard provides a practical starting point for AI-assisted decision-making.

2026 Outlook and What Investors Should Watch

Looking ahead, Apollo's Q2 2026 earnings report on August 4 represents the most immediate catalyst. Investors will focus on fee-related earnings growth, origination volumes, Athene's net investment spread, and progress toward the firm's full-year guidance of 20%-plus FRE growth. Beyond earnings, the trajectory of interest rates and credit spreads will heavily influence Apollo's near-term performance, given the firm's deep exposure to credit markets. The ongoing integration of the Emerald-Questex platform, the scaling of Athene's AMAPS product, and Apollo's push toward daily pricing transparency across its private-credit portfolio are additional operational themes to monitor. On the risk side, regulatory scrutiny of private-capital markets, potential further redemption pressures in semi-liquid credit funds, and broader macroeconomic headwinds could weigh on valuations across the alternative asset management sector. Analysts remain broadly constructive, with 13 of 17 covering firms maintaining Buy-equivalent ratings, though price targets have been revised lower across the board in 2026, reflecting a more cautious near-term outlook.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for APO with price predictions
Aug 04, 2026

Momentum Indicator for APO turns positive, indicating new upward trend

APO saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on July 31, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 83 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 83 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for APO just turned positive on July 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where APO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

APO moved above its 50-day moving average on July 31, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where APO advanced for three days, in of 357 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 316 cases where APO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The 10-day moving average for APO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for APO moved below the 200-day moving average on July 28, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where APO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

APO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. APO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.917) is normal, around the industry mean (3.501). P/E Ratio (47.402) is within average values for comparable stocks, (28.013). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.608) is also within normal values, averaging (1.264). APO has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.016) as compared to the industry average of (0.089). P/S Ratio (2.205) is also within normal values, averaging (17.569).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

APO paid dividends on May 29, 2026

Apollo Global Management APO Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.56 per share was paid with a record date of May 29, 2026, and an ex-dividend date of May 19, 2026. Read more...
A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Ares Capital Corp (NASDAQ:ARCC), WisdomTree (NYSE:WT), AMTD IDEA Group (NYSE:AMTD).

Industry description

Investment Managers manage financial assets and other investments of clients. Management includes designing a short- or long-term strategy for buying/holding and selling of portfolio holdings. It can also include tax services and other aspects of financial planning as well. While it is perceived that the industry is faced with growing competition from robo-advisors/digital platforms and passive/ index-tracking funds, many investors still find value in actively managed in-person services that investment management companies often emphasize on. At the same time, many wealth managers are also incorporating digital initiatives/low cost options in addition to their in-person customized services. Their main sources of revenues are fees as a percentage of assets under management, in addition to a certain portion of clients’ gains from asset appreciation. BlackRock, Inc., Blackstone Group Inc and Brookfield Asset Management are some of the major investment management companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Investment Managers Industry is 9.66B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 57 to 175.32B. BLK holds the highest valuation in this group at 175.32B. The lowest valued company is RSERF at 57.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Investment Managers Industry was 4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 0%, and the average quarterly price growth was 13%. ZSTK experienced the highest price growth at 44%, while SDEV experienced the biggest fall at -17%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Investment Managers Industry was 34%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -32% and the average quarterly volume growth was -45%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 33
P/E Growth Rating: 59
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 74
Profit Risk Rating: 78
Seasonality Score: -22 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a provider of global alternative asset management services

Industry InvestmentManagers

Profile
Details
Industry
Investment Managers
Address
9 West 57th Street
Phone
+1 212 515-3200
Employees
2540
Web
https://www.apollo.com
Apollo Global Management (APO) Stock Analysis: Can Credit Dominance and Athene Offset Market Headwinds?