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Apollo is one of the world's largest alternative asset managers, with $1... Show more

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A.I.Advisor
Nov 02, 2026

Apollo Global Management (APO) Stock Analysis: Credit Origination and Athene Power a Trillion-Dollar Alternative Platform

Key Takeaways

  • Apollo Global Management is one of the world's largest alternative asset managers, with roughly $1.05 trillion in total assets under management and about $858 billion in fee-earning AUM as of mid-2026.
  • Shares have been relatively stable over the trailing 30 days, trading near the $115–$116 range — a modest move of approximately +1.6% versus the prior-month level.
  • The company's "dual flywheel" pairs a credit-heavy asset management franchise with Athene's retirement services business, providing a large base of permanent, insurance-linked capital.
  • Third-quarter 2026 results are scheduled for early November 2026, with consensus expectations around $2.21 in earnings per share and approximately $1.34 billion in revenue.
  • In October 2026, Apollo agreed to acquire a minority stake in Mubadala Capital, deepening its institutional relationships across the Middle East.
  • Management's five-year targets include roughly 20% annual growth in asset management and 10% growth in the retirement services business.
  • For additional detail on this stock, explore its Price Targets, Earnings, and Forecast pages.
  • Interested readers can also explore Trending AI Robots for automated trading insights.

Current Market Snapshot

Apollo Global Management (NYSE: APO) has traded in a relatively narrow band over the trailing 30 days, with shares hovering near $115–$116. The muted move reflects a broader period of consolidation among alternative asset managers, where investors have been weighing the benefits of sustained fundraising and origination against the effect of interest-rate expectations on deployment and monetization activity. As a large-cap financial with a growing base of recurring fee-related and spread-related earnings, Apollo tends to attract attention for its earnings trajectory and inflows rather than for sharp short-term price swings.

Apollo Global Management (APO) Business Overview and Competitive Position

Apollo Global Management is a diversified alternative asset manager operating through two principal segments: asset management and retirement services. On the asset management side, credit is the dominant strategy, representing the clear majority of total AUM, alongside private equity, real estate, and real assets. The firm's retirement services segment operates primarily through Athene, its wholly owned subsidiary and a leading provider of retirement income and annuity products, which held approximately $473 billion in total assets as of mid-2026.

Apollo's competitive advantage rests on its integrated origination platform and its access to insurance-linked, permanent capital through Athene. This structure lets Apollo source credit assets directly, deploy them into long-duration insurance portfolios, and earn both management fees and investment spreads. That "dual flywheel" differentiates Apollo from more traditional, asset-light managers such as Blackstone and KKR, and has helped the firm scale AUM past the $1 trillion mark.

Recent Developments Driving APO

Several verified developments have shaped investor sentiment in recent weeks. In October 2026, Apollo agreed to acquire a minority stake in Mubadala Capital, the alternative asset management arm of Abu Dhabi-based Mubadala Investment Company, a move expected to expand Apollo's global investment network and support long-term AUM growth. The transaction was expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2026.

The firm has also continued executing on its initiative to move its credit business toward daily net asset value pricing, a transparency effort aimed at broadening investor access to private credit. Earlier in 2026, Athene agreed to acquire an approximately $9 billion commercial real estate loan portfolio from Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, further consolidating assets within the retirement services platform. These moves coincide with Apollo's continued integration of Bridge Investment Group, which has expanded the firm's real estate and property management capabilities. The upcoming third-quarter earnings release remains the primary near-term catalyst for the stock.

Trending AI Robots

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2026 Outlook and What Investors Should Watch

Looking ahead through 2026, several factors are likely to influence Apollo's trajectory. Fee-related earnings growth remains a central theme, with management guiding toward continued expansion built on strong origination, capital formation, and inflows across credit and other strategies. The interest-rate environment will also matter, because changes in short- and long-term rates affect both Athene's net investment spread and the pace at which Apollo deploys and monetizes assets.

Investors should monitor quarterly inflows and fee-earning AUM trends, the performance of Athene's spread-related earnings, and the ongoing push into retail and retirement-oriented products. Regulatory attention on private credit and net asset value transparency, along with competitive pressures in alternative credit, represent key risks. As always, actual results will depend on market conditions, fundraising momentum, and the firm's ability to sustain its origination advantage.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for APO with price predictions
Nov 02, 2026

APO's RSI Indicator recovers from oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for APO moved out of oversold territory on October 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 22 of the 26 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 85%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 28, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on APO as a result. In 66 of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for APO just turned positive on October 22, 2026. Looking at past instances where APO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

Following a +3.25% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where APO advanced for three days, in 247 of 346 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The 50-day moving average for APO moved below the 200-day moving average on October 28, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where APO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.

APO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for APO entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 69 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. APO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 83 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.598) is normal, around the industry mean (2.420). P/E Ratio (42.063) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-3.848). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.446) is also within normal values, averaging (1.319). Dividend Yield (0.019) settles around the average of (0.268) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.062) is also within normal values, averaging (15.694).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

APO paid dividends on August 31, 2026

Apollo Global Management APO Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.56 per share was paid with a record date of August 31, 2026, and an ex-dividend date of August 19, 2026. Read more...
A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Ares Capital Corp (NASDAQ:ARCC), WisdomTree (NYSE:WT), AMTD Idea Group (NYSE:AMTD).

Industry description

Investment Managers manage financial assets and other investments of clients. Management includes designing a short- or long-term strategy for buying/holding and selling of portfolio holdings. It can also include tax services and other aspects of financial planning as well. While it is perceived that the industry is faced with growing competition from robo-advisors/digital platforms and passive/ index-tracking funds, many investors still find value in actively managed in-person services that investment management companies often emphasize on. At the same time, many wealth managers are also incorporating digital initiatives/low cost options in addition to their in-person customized services. Their main sources of revenues are fees as a percentage of assets under management, in addition to a certain portion of clients’ gains from asset appreciation. BlackRock, Inc., Blackstone Group Inc and Brookfield Asset Management are some of the major investment management companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Investment Managers Industry is 8.6B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.59 to 180.76B. BLK holds the highest valuation in this group at 180.76B. The lowest valued company is OXLCO at 1.59.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Investment Managers Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -6%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4%. AMBR experienced the highest price growth at 28%, while SVRN experienced the biggest fall at -44%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Investment Managers Industry was 25%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -48% and the average quarterly volume growth was -34%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 65
P/E Growth Rating: 61
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 67
Profit Risk Rating: 80
Seasonality Score: 12 (-100 ... +100)
Apollo Global Management (APO) Stock Analysis: Credit Origination and Athene Power a Trillion-Dollar Alternative Platform